Thursday, May 12, 2011

Foreclosure Filings Fall To 40-Month Low

Foreclosures concentrate in 5 states in April 2011Foreclosure activity continues to drop nationwide.

Based on data from foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac, foreclosure filings nationwide fell below 220,000 in April 2011, a 9 percent decrease from March.

A "foreclosure filing" is defined as any foreclosure-related action including Notice of Default, Scheduled Auction, or Bank Repossession.

April marks the seventh straight month in which foreclosure filings have dropped and total filings are down more than one-third year-over-year.

One reason why filings are down is that banks are letting more time pass between delinquency and foreclosure, exploring alternative courses of actions such as short sales and loan modifications. It now takes, on average, 400 days from an initial default notice to bank repossession.

That's more than double the 151-day average of early-2007.

Another reason may be that job growth is returning to the U.S. and job creation is associated with fewer home loan defaults.

Regardless, in the states in which foreclosures are occurring, bank repossessions are concentrating among just a few. 

5 states accounted for half of the country's April REO:

  • California : 19.8 percent
  • Arizona : 9.5 percent
  • Michigan : 7.5 percent
  • Florida : 6.7 percent
  • Texas : 5.6 percent

Collectively, these 5 states represent just 32 percent of the nation's population.

On the other end of the chart, Vermont accounted for a measly 0.007% of April's foreclosure filings.

If you're a first-time home buyer considering foreclosed homes in Maple Grove , or a seasoned investor adding to your portfolio, the good news is that foreclosures are selling at steep, 20 percent discounts relative to non-distressed homes. Just make you know what you're buying. Foreclosure purchases carry different risks and follow different procedures than "traditional" sales.

Rely on a seasoned real estate agent to navigate the deal.

Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Conforming ARMs From 2004-2006 Are Adjusting To 3 Percent

Pending ARM Adjustment Spring/Summer 2011

When a mortgage applicants chooses an adjustable-rate mortgage over a fixed-rate one, he accepts a risk that -- at some point in the future -- the mortgage's interest rate will rise. Lately, though, that hasn't been the outcome.

Since mid-2010, conforming mortgages have adjusted below their initial "teaser" rate consistently, giving homeowners in Wisconsin and nationwide reason to ride their respective adjustable-rate mortgages out.

For example, this month, conforming 7-year and 5-year ARMs are adjusting near 3.011 percent based on the most common loan terms of 2004-2006. It's because of how adjustable-rate mortgages are structured.

Adjustable-rate mortgages follow a defined lifecycle. First, the ARM's mortgage rate is pegged; held fixed for a set number of years. This period ranges from one year to 10 years; periods of five and seven years are most common.

When the initial fixed-rate period ends, the mortgage rate then adjusts based on a pre-set formula. The formula is established by contract in the mortgage closing paperwork, and is commonly defined as:

(Adjusted Mortgage Rate) = (2.250 percent) + (Current 1-Year LIBOR)

Next, every 12 months, based on the same formula as above, the ARM adjusts again until 30 years have passed and the loan is paid is full.

It's important to recognize that in the above equation, LIBOR is a variable so as LIBOR goes, so goes your adjusted mortgage rate. And because LIBOR is ultra-low right now, adjusted mortgage rates are ultra-low, too. LIBOR is expected to stay this way until the global economy has recovered more fully. Analysts predict a higher LIBOR by mid-2012.

So, if you have an adjustable-rate mortgage that's due to reset this season, don't rush to refinance. For at least one more year, you can benefit from low rates and low payments.  As for the next adjustment, though, that's anyone's guess.

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

What To Fix Before You List

Fixes before you listWith housing prices down across the country, there are a lot of homeowners in Minneapolis barely breaking even on their respective home sales. Some are even losing money.

You may find yourself in that position, too; wanting to sell, but worried about bringing cash to your own closing.

It creates an interesting dilemma. You want your home to "show nicely" relative to comparable properties, but you don't want to invest big dollars that may never be recouped into upgrades or renovations. So what do you do?

The answer is simple. Do the bare minimum.

From an advice piece in the Wall Street Journal, we learn of 10 basic home improvement projects that will help your home have better showings. The advice requires almost no technical skills, and the projects be tackled in a weekend.

The theme? Handled your home's delayed maintenance.

  1. Repair or remove screen doors with holes and tears
  2. Pressure wash windows, sidewalks, and siding
  3. Paint your front door and polish the doorknob
  4. Pull weeds, seed bare spots, and lay down mulch
  5. Touch up holes, dings and cracks in paint
  6. Clean grout and re-caulk sinks, bathtubs and showers
  7. Buy new cabinet hardware
  8. Fix leaky faucets and toilets
  9. Spray lubricant on squeaky doors
  10. Get clutter into storage and out of the way

Now, you'll notice that none of these projects can be considered "major". By contrast, each is minor; they're the items you'd add to your to-do list for work on "another day". However, they're extremely important for a home that's about to be listed.

Here's why. A prospective buyer doesn't notice that the above repairs were made. He only notices if they weren't made. When a buyer sees ripped screens or chipped paint in your home, it makes him wonder what else hasn't been cared for. This is the why you should also hire an exterminator prior to selling your home. If a buyer spots a trail of ants in your home, it's unlikely you'll get an offer.

You don't need to spend big bucks to get your home ready for sale, but you may to use apply elbow grease. The good news is that time spent up-front can be worth it in the end. Homes that show better tend to sell faster, and at higher prices.

Monday, May 9, 2011

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 9, 2011

Non-Farm PayrollsMortgage markets improved last week on a bevy of economic and geopolitical news. Conforming mortgage rates in Maple Grove improved, falling to their lowest levels of 2011.

It's a welcome development for home buyers and rate shoppers nationwide. Mortgage rates were expected to rise throughout most of this year.

There were four big stories that contributed to falling rates last week.

The first was the news that Osama bin Laden was killed. The news was announced over the weekend, and by the time markets opened Monday morning, the price of oil was already falling. Falling oil prices reduce inflationary pressures on the economy and because inflation contributes to rising mortgage rates, the absence of inflation helps them to fall.

This news carried markets to Thursday morning. That's when the Department of Labor announced that Initial Jobless Claims had suddenly and unexpectedly surged to an 8-month high. Last week's report featured the biggest one-week jump in claims in more than 2 years.

This, too, pushed mortgage rates lower, casting doubt on the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.

Then, Friday morning, those doubts were cast aside. When the government released its Non-Farm Payrolls report for April, it showed job creation topping 200,000 for the third straight month. We would have expected mortgage rates to rise on news like this, but they didn't.

Rates fell instead -- mostly because the strength of the U.S. jobs report rendered mortgage-backed bonds more attractive to global investors.

The last story, though, is the one worth watching long-term.

Late-Friday, in response to its growing debt issues, it was reported that Greece may withdraw from the Eurozone. An outcome such as this is unlikely, however, the possibility was enough to spark a flight-to-quality that benefited U.S. mortgage rates. Conforming and FHA rates ended Friday lower, reaching their best levels since December.

This week, there isn't much economic news set for release so the above stories will continue to influence markets and rates. Geopolitics can change quickly, though, so if you're floating a mortgage rate and waiting for the bottom, don't wait too long. Markets can reverse in a snap.

If you see a rate you like, the safest move is to lock it.