Mortgage Rates Return To April 2010 Levels

Mortgage rates are surging.

Over the last 7 days, conventional, 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates have jumped 24 basis points, or 0.24%, according to Freddie Mac's weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

It's the largest 1-week spike in mortgage rates in recent history.

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage now averages 5.05% nationally. This is much, much higher than what we saw last November when mortgage rates were 4.17% and looked headed to the 3s.

That's not the case today. In fact, it's the opposite. 

Mortgage rates have risen quickly and fiercely this year. As of this morning, mortgage rates are higher over 9 consecutive days, marking the longest mortgage rate losing streak in the last 6 years, at least.

Note, however, that when you call your loan officer or bank, you may not be quoted the same 5.05% rate as shown by Freddie Mac. This is because Freddie Mac-reported rates are national averages. Any given mortgage rate may be higher or lower depending on its region. 

As an illustration, look how this week's rates breaks down by area:

• Northeast : 5.07 with 0.7 points
• Southeast : 4.99 with 0.9 points
• North Central : 5.09 with 0.6 points
• Southeast : 5.06 with 0.6 points
• West : 5.02 with 0.8 points

In other words, the rate-and-fee combination you'd be offered in your home town of Minneapolis is different from what you'd be offered if you lived somewhere else. In the Southeast, rates tend to be low and fees tend to be high; in the North Central U.S., it's the opposite.

The good news is that, as a mortgage applicant, you can have your pricing whichever way you prefer. If getting the absolute lowest mortgage rate is what's most important to you, have your loan officer structure your loan as in the "Southeast Style". Or, if you prefer to have as few closing costs as possible and don't mind slightly higher rates, ask for that type of set-up instead.

Either way, consider locking your rate as soon as possible. If rates keep rising, it won't be long before they touch 6 percent.

Foreclosure Activity Drops Throughout The Most Foreclosure-Heavy States

Foreclosure activity is slowing. According to foreclosure-tracker RealtyTrac, the number of foreclosure filings dropped 17 percent on an annual basis last month. Monthly filings ticked higher 1 percent after a combined 23 percent decrease through November and December 2010.

The phrase "foreclosure filing" is a catch-all term, comprising default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions. 

January marked the third straight month of sub-300,000 filings after 20 straight months above it.

As compared to January 2010, six of the nation's 10 most foreclosure-heavy states posted an annual foreclosure filing reduction. The remaining four showed modest worsening.

It's noteworthy that states like California and Florida posted declines of 7 percent and 54 percent, respectively, and that Nevada posted a relatively-low 3 percent gain. These three states have been at the leading edge of foreclosure activity since 2007. Their subsequent recoveries, therefore, may foreshadow a better housing market ahead.

Or, this may be lasting effects from the "robo-signer" controversy.

Regardless, home buyers in Wisconsin continue to clamor for distressed homes.

According to the National Association of REALTORS®, properties in various stages of the foreclosure and short sale process are selling at discounts in the range of 10-15 percent so it's no wonder they now account for 36 percent of all home resales. Buying a foreclosure can be a great "deal".  They can be more trouble and cost than they're worth.

Therefore, If you're in the market for a foreclosed home , be sure to speak with a licensed real estate agent. The process of buying a distressed home is different from buying a non-distressed home. An experienced professional can help make sure you negotiate your best possible price.

Mortgage Rates Rise For The 7th Straight Day

Mortgage markets worsened for the 7th straight day Tuesday, equaling the longest losing streak of the last 5 years.

Conventional, 30-year fixed mortgage rates are now scratching 5 percent, with FHA mortgage rates running roughly the same.

This is a huge increase from just 11 weeks ago when mortgage rates were riding an 8-month-long hot streak, and appeared headed into the 3s. Then the Federal Reserve intervened.

On November 3, as additional support for markets, the Fed announced its second round of bond buys, a $600 billion program dubbed QEII -- short for Quantitative Easing, Round II. Wall Street got spooked on the news; investors feared runaway inflation.

That's when low rates ended. Here's why:

(A) Inflation makes the U.S. dollar lose its value,

And, (B) U.S. mortgage bond payments are paid in U.S. dollars.

Therefore, (C) Inflation makes mortgage bond repayments lose their value.

When mortgage bond repayments are worth less, bond demand falls among the global investor set and that causes bond prices to fall along with it. When bond prices fall, mortgage rates rise and that's exactly what we're seeing right now.

Since the Fed's QEII announcement, mortgage rates have soared and home affordability is taking a hit.

Given recent trends, it's probably safe to declare the Refi Boom "officially over" and the era of low mortgage rates may be over, too.  Home prices may move up or down in Minneapolis this year, but rising mortgage rates could render the point moot. If you're looking for a great "deal" with low, long-term payments, the time to get in contract may be now.

Because of rising rates, homeowners have lost roughly 10% of their purchasing power since November.

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Adjustable Rate Mortgages Adjusting To 3.000 Percent Right Now

If your ARM is due to adjust this spring, your best move may be to allow it. Don't rush to refinance -- your rate may be adjusting lower.

It's because of how adjusted mortgage rates are calculated.

First, let's look at the lifecycle of a conventional, adjustable rate mortgage:

1. There's a "starter period" of several years in which the interest rate remains fixed.
2. There's an initial adjustment to rate after the starter period. This is called the "first adjustment".
3. There's a subsequent adjustment until the loan's term expires. The adjustment is usually annual.

The starter period will vary from 1 to 10 years, but once that timeframe ends, and the first adjustment occurs, conventional ARMs enter a lifecycle phase that is common among all ARMs -- regular rate adjustments based on some pre-set formula until the loan is paid in full, and retired.

For conventional ARMs adjusting in 2011, that formula is most commonly defined as:

(12-Month LIBOR) + (2.250 Percent) = (Adjusted Mortgage Rate)

LIBOR is an acronym for London Interbank Offered Rate. It's the rate at which banks borrow money from each other. It's also the variable portion of the adjustable mortgage rate equation. The corresponding constant is typically 2.25%.

Since March 2010, LIBOR has been low and, as a result, adjusting mortgage rates have been low, too.

In 2009, 5-year ARMs adjusted to 6 percent or higher. Today, they're adjusting near 3.000 percent.

That's a big shift. 

Therefore, strictly based on mathematics, letting your ARM adjust this year could be smarter than refinancing it. You may get yourself a lower rate.

Either way, talk to your loan officer. With mortgage rates still near historical lows, Maple Grove homeowners have interesting options. Just don't wait too long. LIBOR -- and mortgage rates in general -- are known to change quickly.

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : February 7, 2011

Mortgage markets worsened last week as Wall Street came to terms with the expanding economy; and realized the Federal Reserve may be trying to induce inflation.

Better-than-expected retail sales and positive job growth buoyed stock markets and sank bonds.

Mortgage rates in Minnesota rose for the 4th time in 5 weeks last week, extending a losing streak which dates back 4 months.

Today, fixed, conforming rates are three-quarters of a percent higher as compared to the market's low point, November 3, 2010. For a $200,000 home loan, that size rate hike equates to an increase in a monthly mortgage payment of $89 per month.

Mortgage rates are at their highest levels of the year and, this week, they may continue ticking higher.

There isn't much data set for release this week so markets will take their cues from two major events -- one economic and one political.

The major economic event is Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony to the House Budget Committee late-Wednesday. Chairman Bernanke is expected to speak about employment, but will likely touch on other topics of import including economic growth, the U.S. dollar, and the nation's debt ceiling.

The Fed Chairman's comments will move mortgage rates in one direction or the other, so locking in advance of his testimony may be prudent. Mortgage rates have more room to rise than to fall, after all.

The second major event is Egypt's ongoing political strife. By Thursday of last week, Wall Street had shrugged off the region's crisis and unwound the safe-haven trades that had helped mortgage rates during the week prior.

If instability returns, mortgage rates, once again, will be pressured lower.

Regardless of your rate-locking plan for this week, it's important to recognize that, although rates have risen, they're still well below historical average. Therefore, rates may have a lot of room to move higher, still.

If you're shopping for a mortgage, or are now under contract, consider locking your rate as soon as possible.