Friday, August 13, 2010

Higher (And Lower) FHA Mortgage Insurance Premiums Start October 4, 2010

FHA mortgage insurance premiums ready to changeFor the second time this year, the FHA is modifying mortgage insurance.

Beginning with FHA case numbers issued on or after October 4, 2010, the FHA is changing its upfront and annual mortgage insurance premium structure.

Under the new terms, assuming a 30-year fixed rate FHA mortgage with at least 5 percent equity:

  • Upfront MIP drops to 1.000% of the amount borrowed from 2.250%
  • Annual MIP increases to 0.850% of the amount borrowed from 0.500%

For homeowners in Minneapolis and everywhere else , this switch in MIP decreases the upfront cost of an FHA-insured mortgage, but increases the loan's long-term costs.

Using a $100,000 mortgage as an example, upfront MIP falls to $1,000 from $2,250; monthly MIP jumps to $70.83 from $41.67. The FHA expects the change will yield an additional $300 million in premiums monthly.

The update is a huge win for the FHA whose reserve funds are self-proclaimed to be "perilously low".  The extra monies should help recapitalize and stabilize the government group.

The FHA is on pace to back 1.7 million loans this year.

For the majority of refinancing FHA homeowners and home buyers, the MIP change is neither good nor bad -- the borrowing landscape will just looks a bit different.  Yes, loans will cost more to carry each month, but also they'll be less expensive to procure. It's a trade-off and you can apply math formulas to solve for the best time to apply FHA. 

It may be wise to get your FHA case number before October 4, for example, depending on your time frame in the home and the expected life of the mortgage. Or, it may be better to wait until after October 4 to apply.

If you're unsure of how the new FHA mortgage premiums will impact your mortgage, be sure to call or email your loan officer for help.

NOTE : The FHA originally announced an implementation date of September 7. It was subsequently amended to October 4, 2010.

Thursday, August 12, 2010

How Big Is The Foreclosure Market? It Depends On Where You Live, Of Course.

Foreclosure concentration, by state (July 2010)Foreclosure filings rose 4 percent nationwide last month versus June, according to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac.com. For the 17th straight month, total filings topped 300,000.

A foreclosure filing is defined as default notice, scheduled auction, or bank repossession.

As with most months, just a handful of states dominated foreclosure activity nationwide.

  • California : 14.9 percent of all activity
  • Florida : 11.6 percent of all activity
  • Arizona : 6.4 percent of all activity
  • Michigan : 6.2 percent of all activity
  • Georgia : 6.1 percent of all activity
  • Texas : 4.9 percent of all activity

Together, these 6 states represent just 30 percent of the overall U.S. population.

The other 44 states (and Washington D.C.) were home to the remaining 49.0%.

Despite this imbalance, though, in all markets, foreclosures and REO are making a profound impact on pricing and product. "Distressed" homes now represent 32 percent of the overall resale market nationwide, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Buying a foreclosed home can make for a terrific "deal", but buying in the REO market is decidedly different from buying a non-foreclosed property.

As 3 examples:

  1. Buying bank-owned homes can take 120 days to close.
  2. Foreclosures aren't always listed for sale publicly. Some inventory is privately-held.
  3. Bank-owned homes are often sold "as is". There may be defects that render the homes mortgage-ineligible.

If you have an interest in buying REO, consider talking with a real estate agent first. Even the negotiation process is different as compared to a non-distressed sale. It helps to have an experienced professional representing your interests.

Tuesday, August 10, 2010

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (August 10, 2010 Edition)

Putting the FOMC statement in plain EnglishToday, in its first meeting in 6 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged. 

The Fed Fund Rate remains at a historical low, within a prescribed target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC said that, since June, the pace of economic recovery "has slowed". Household spending is increasing but remains restrained because of high levels of unemployment, falling home values, and restrictive credit.

Today's statement shows less economic optimism as compared to the prior year's worth of FOMC statements dating back to June 2009. The Fed is looking for growth to be "more modest in the near-term" than its previous expectations.

Weaknesses aside, the Fed highlighted strengths in the economy, too:

  1. Growth is ongoing on a national level
  2. Inflation levels remain exceedingly low
  3. Business spending is rising

As expected, the Fed re-affirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent "for an extended period".

There were no surprises in the Fed's statement so, as a result, the mortgage market's reaction to the release has been neutral. Mortgage rates in Minnesota are unchanged this afternoon.

The FOMC's next meeting is scheduled for September 21, 2010.

The Fed Is Meeting Today. Should You Float Or Lock Your Mortgage Rate?

Fed Funds Rate June 2007-June 2010The Federal Open Market Committee holds a one-day meeting today, its fifth scheduled meeting of the year, and sixth overall since January.

The FOMC is the government's monetary policy-setting arm and the group's primary tool for that purpose is an interest rate called the Fed Funds Rate

The Fed Funds Rate is the prescribed rate at which banks borrow money from each other and, since December 16, 2008, the Federal Reserve has voted to keep the benchmark rate within a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

It's the lowest Fed Funds Rate in history.

Because the Fed Funds Rate is near zero, it's accommodative of economic growth, spurring businesses and consumers to borrow money on the cheap. This, in turn, fosters economic growth within a U.S. economy that is somewhat tentative and facing headwinds.

The Fed has said over and again that it will hold the Fed Funds Rate "exceptionally low" for as long as conditions warrant.  It's expect that the Fed will reiterate that message in today's post-meeting press release.

However, just because the Fed Funds Rate won't be changing today, that doesn't mean that mortgage rates won't.  Mortgage rates are not set by the Federal Reserve; open markets make mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates in Wisconsin tend to be volatile when the Fed is meeting. This is because the Fed's press release highlights strengths and weaknesses in the economy and, depending on how Wall Street views those remarks, bond markets can undulate and mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage-backed bonds.

When Ben Bernanke & Co. speak, Wall Street listens. 

The Fed's press release today will be dissected and analyzed.  Talk of higher-than-expected inflation, or better-than-expected growth should have a negative effect on rates. Talk of an economic slowdown may help rates to fall.

Either way, we can't be certain what the Fed will say or do this afternoon so if you're floating a rate right now and wondering whether the time is right to lock, the safe choice is to lock before 2:15 PM ET today.

Monday, August 9, 2010

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : August 9, 2010

Federal Reserve meets August 10 2010Mortgage markets improved again last week on softer-than-expected economic data, punctuated by Friday morning's weak jobs report. Conforming mortgage rates in Wisconsin dropped on the news, making new, all-time lows.

Mortgage rates have been on an extended rally dating back to mid-April.

This week, there's a lot of data and news due for release, the most influential to markets of which is the Federal Open Market Committee's scheduled policy meeting.

8 times annually, the FOMC meets to discuss the nation's monetary policy with respect to the current and projected U.S. economic conditions. Sometimes the FOMC takes action on the economy. Other times, it does not.

Either way, Fed meetings are market movers and it's a gamble to float a mortgage rate ahead of an FOMC get-together.

There's other's stories to watch this week, too. Each has the ability to change mortgage rates.

  • Tuesday : FOMC meeting; Consumer Confidence data
  • Thursday : Jobless Claims
  • Friday : Retail Sales; Consumer Price Index

It's a busy week on Wall Street, to be sure, and rate shoppers would do well to pay attention. Not only can the FOMC meeting change mortgage rates for every product in every market, but it can also change the outlook for mortgage rates going forward.

Rates are at an all-time low and low rates can't last forever. We're in the middle of a Refi Boom today and, soon, the boom will be over.

If you haven't spoken to a loan officer about refinancing your home, or locking a mortgage rate, your best time to make the call is prior to the FOMC's Tuesday afternoon adjournment at 2:15 PM ET. Mortgage rates will get jumpy leading up to the meeting, and will most certainly be volatile afterward.